With everyone concerned about Coronavirus, I’m sure a lot of our excitement about the draft and the schedule release has been curtailed. But with 10 days to go for the draft (and probably any day now for the schedule release), it’s finally starting to hit me.
I hope you all are safe and sound.
A lot of the same rumors continue to buzz around, plus some new rumors, plus some contradictions of the original rumors. The bottom line? IT’S ALL RUMORS! We don’t know. The good news is that we only need to wait 2 more days to find out.
I’ll begin by saying this one last time. No matter who we covet–Burrow or Tua or Herbert or whoever–no matter who we want the most, there is a chance that some other team will scoop in and grab our guy. And that terrible possibility is due to some mistakes Brian Flores made last year. I won’t dwell, but was it really really necessary to run that punter-to-kicker trick play to beat the Eagles? Did we really need to line up Christian Wilkins in pass formation on a trick play to beat the Bengals? I wish I could call those games meaningless, but they weren’t. On the contrary, they were COSTLY to the Dolphins. We’re picking 5th instead of first or second because of Flores’ Madden mentality, and it could come back to haunt us. I know he wanted to instill a winning mentality, but of the 53 men who “learned” that winning is important to Flores, about half will be gone come opening day. You won costly games so that guys who aren’t on the team anymore can feel good.
So, that’s done. Now… after studying this as much as many of you, I’m ready to state that I think Tua should be the first pick. Roll the dice on his health. Watch his film before the injuries and hope he recaptures that. A healthy Tua is more dynamic than a possible one-year wonder in Burrow. His skill set is more in line with modern QBs like Mahomes and Jackson. Worst case scenario is that he busts out and we have to try again. Again. But if we shy away from Tua because of a possible injury and he goes to another team and excels for 15 years? It will be Drew Brees all over again, and there’s no recovery from that.
So I decided I like Tua at the #5 pick. His upside sells me. Now then…do we trade up to ensure we get the man I want? That becomes a whole other question. If the Dolphin powers that be feel that he’s the man, then I would move up to #2 to get him. I do not believe that Washington thinks Dwayne Haskins is a Super Bowl QB for years to come. Matthew Stafford in Detroit certainly is not. And yet those teams remain coy in saying “We’re not drafting a QB.” Of course they say that ! So IF Miami craves Tua, give up a first and a third or so to move up 3 spots. I’m cool with that.
If they DON’T covet Tua, then there’s no need to move anywhere. If they like Herbert or Love or one of the others, then stay put and take him at #5. Then we’ll get to hear Chris Grier say “We got the man we wanted the entire time” (like every single GM says), and no one will believe him.
There’s also a lot of talk about drafting an O lineman at #5. This doesn’t make sense to me. But it makes more sense than taking a RB, which is yet another rumor. RBs are a dime a dozen, and taking one at #5 would be so unwise.